In September, Harvard economists Robert Barro and Charles Redlick published a working paper titled: Macroeconomic Effects from Government Purchases and Taxes. The paper looks at past economic data in order to develop a multiplier for government expenditures. Their research found for defense spending, the multiplier was 0.6-0.7–until the unemployment rate reach 12%, at which time it neared one. Barro and Redlick also found higher marginal tax rates reduced growth in GDP.
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